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League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Forest Green Rovers

Plymouth
2 - 0
Forest Green

Bolton (7'), Mumba (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Keeffe (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

 Knowing they have no more room for error with the gap to Ipswich reduced to two points, Plymouth will be desperate to return to winning ways on home turf at the weekend and should have more than enough quality to see off a Forest Green Rovers side lacking any confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawForest Green Rovers
70.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 17.3% (-0.012 -0.01) 12.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (0.024999999999999 0.02)37.22% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.43% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)9.4% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.62% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)78.27% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 70.59%
    Forest Green Rovers 12.11%
    Draw 17.3%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawForest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.55% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-1 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 70.59%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.3%
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.11%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Forest Green

Plymouth Argyle
90.9%
Draw
4.5%
Forest Green Rovers
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Forest Green
0-3
Plymouth

Hendry (74')
Azaz (18'), Mumba (27'), Ennis (61')
Mumba (84')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
P-P
Forest Green
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Forest Green
0-1
Plymouth

Kitching (30'), Bernard (45')
Sarcevic (24')
Moore (31'), Edwards (83'), Palmer (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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