League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
3 - 2
Port Vale

Campbell (14'), Rak-Sakyi (57'), Leaburn (77')
Clare (4'), Hector (39'), Morgan (65'), Dobson (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Plant (62'), Taylor (90+7' pen.)
Proctor (39')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-0 Port Vale

Port Vale would have taken confidence from Saturday's win against Bristol Rovers, but picking up a win at The Valley may prove to be a difficult challenge. The Valiants have not won an away game since New Year's Day, and we think that Charlton will take advantage of Port Vale's away day struggles to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Port Vale
45.86% ( -0.35)	23.49% ( 0.06)	30.65% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 61.3% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.76% (

-0.14)

40.24% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.39% (

-0.15)

62.61% (

0.15)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

-0.19)

17.85% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.39% (

-0.33)

48.61% (

0.34)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61% (

0.11)

25.39% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81% (

0.15)

60.19% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 45.86%

Port Vale 30.65%

Draw 23.48%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Port Vale
2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 45.86%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.65%