League One

League One | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
7 - 0
Port Vale

Cole (23', 47', 53'), Jones (45' og.), Kitching (60'), Russell (64'), Dallas (90+6')
Styles (18'), Kane (25'), Watters (25'), Russell (72'), Roberts (89'), Shepherd (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ojo (39'), Cass (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 3-4 Blackburn
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Plymouth
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Port Vale

We are yet to see how Barnsley will fare after last season's Wembley disappointment and the loss of their manager and several key players over the summer, but they should still have enough to get past Port Vale on home turf in their curtain-raiser at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Port Vale
48.45% ( -1.01)	26.49% ( -0.03)	25.05% ( 1.05)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.62% (

0.88)

56.38% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6% (

0.71)

77.4% (

-0.7)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

-0.08)

23.31% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.74% (

-0.12)

57.26% (

0.12)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96% (

1.45)

38.04% (

-1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.2% (

1.37)

74.8% (

-1.37)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 48.45%

Port Vale 25.05%

Draw 26.49%

Barnsley	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.45%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.05%