League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle0 - 2Exeter
Coverage of the League One clash between Carlisle United and Exeter City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Wigan
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Exeter
Tuesday, August 15 at 8pm in League One
Tuesday, August 15 at 8pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Exeter City |
40.57% ( 0.13) | 26.28% ( 0.04) | 33.15% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
