League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
6 - 0
Exeter

Chaplin (8', 32'), Luongo (16'), Hirst (22'), Broadhead (28' pen.), Burns (47')
Clarke (57'), Burgess (88')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Mitchell (59')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Exeter City

Ipswich have been solid all season, but their performances have gone up a level since February, keeping clean sheets in 12 of their last 14 matches. McKenna's side have proven they have what it takes to win promotion with their recent victories against Barnsley and Peterborough, and we expect them to get over the line on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.79%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Exeter City
79.79% ( -0.07)	12.99% ( 0.04)	7.21% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.61% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.96% (

-0.07)

32.03% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.39% (

-0.08)

53.6% (

0.08)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.74% (

-0.03)

6.25% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.41% (

-0.08)

23.59% (

0.07)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.85% (

0.02)

48.14% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.66% (

0.02)

83.34% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 79.78%

Exeter City 7.21%

Draw 12.99%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Exeter City
2-0 @ 11.56% 3-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 79.78%	1-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 12.99%	1-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 7.21%