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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
St James Park
Morecambe

Exeter
3 - 2
Morecambe

Stansfield (49', 57', 70')
Borges (73'), Sweeney (77'), Kite (83'), Caprice (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stockton (53', 90+14')
Weir (79'), Major (81'), Hunter (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Exeter City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Exeter
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Morecambe

 Morecambe have shown they have what it takes to stay up with their performances in recent weeks, winning their last three games on the spin, and we expect them to move out of the relegation zone on the final day. Exeter have been out of sorts lately, and the game means far more to the visitors, who are likely to come away with a victory by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawMorecambe
63.02% (-1.921 -1.92) 20.82% (0.766 0.77) 16.15% (1.153 1.15)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.17 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-1.15 -1.15)44.4% (1.148 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-1.124 -1.12)66.77% (1.121 1.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (-0.916 -0.92)13.46% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (-1.862 -1.86)40.45% (1.86 1.86)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46% (0.816 0.82)40.54% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.86% (0.73 0.73)77.14% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 63.02%
    Morecambe 16.15%
    Draw 20.82%
Exeter CityDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 10.97% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.399 -0.4)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.336 -0.34)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 63.02%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.82%
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.344 0.34)
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.262 0.26)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.15%

How you voted: Exeter vs Morecambe

Exeter City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Morecambe
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-1
Exeter
Stockton (34')
O'Connor (25')
Key (36')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
gameweek 26
Exeter
0-2
Morecambe

Maxted (8')
Phillips (9' pen.), Stockton (66')
Phillips (56'), Diagouraga (85'), Cooney (90+2')
Nov 3, 2020 6.30pm
gameweek 11
Morecambe
2-2
Exeter
Mendes Gomes (41'), Hendrie (45+1')
Randall (33'), Taylor (72')
Randall (65')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
gameweek 43
Exeter
P-P
Morecambe
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
gameweek 5
Morecambe
2-3
Exeter
Alessandra (45', 63')
Lavelle (80')
Lavelle (91')
Taylor (21'), Martin (25'), Law (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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