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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Morecambe |
63.02% ( -1.92) | 20.82% ( 0.77) | 16.15% ( 1.15) |
Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.6% ( -1.15) | 44.4% ( 1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.23% ( -1.12) | 66.77% ( 1.12) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.54% ( -0.92) | 13.46% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.55% ( -1.86) | 40.45% ( 1.86) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.46% ( 0.82) | 40.54% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.86% ( 0.73) | 77.14% ( -0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.95% Total : 63.02% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.82% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |