League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
0 - 0
Morecambe

Dale (90'), Bishop (90+3')

Austerfield (42'), Adams (43'), Rawson (59')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Portsmouth
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portsmouth 2-0 Morecambe

Morecambe have struggled on their travels, losing 10 of their last 11 away league games, and we think that poor run of form will continue against a Portsmouth side that are unbeaten in five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 74.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Morecambe
74.6% ( 1.02)	16.32% ( -0.56)	9.08% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 44.75% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.3% (

1.15)

41.7% (

-1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.9% (

1.16)

64.1% (

-1.15)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.41% (

0.55)

9.59% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.93% (

1.27)

32.07% (

-1.27)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.5% (

-0.2)

50.5% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15% (

-0.14)

85% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 74.6%

Morecambe 9.08%

Draw 16.32%

Portsmouth	Draw	Morecambe
2-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.3% Total : 74.6%	1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.32%	0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.99% Total : 9.08%