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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Portsmouth


Whelan (20'), Ward (36'), MacDonald (68')
Quansah (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bishop (18', 69' pen.)
Tunnicliffe (77'), Morrell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Portsmouth

 Pompey would have been buoyed by their midweek away victory, and after beating Bristol Rovers 3-1 in August, we think that the visitors will have the edge over their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
29.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 25.73% (-0.02 -0.02) 44.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.064999999999998 0.06)50.72% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.62% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (0.058000000000007 0.06)22.69% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.083000000000006 0.08)56.35% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 29.69%
    Portsmouth 44.57%
    Draw 25.73%
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.69%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.81% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.57%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Portsmouth
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Ogilvie (32'), Pigott (82' pen.), Dale (90+2')
Pack (57'), Morrison (73'), Scarlett (88')
Collins (61')
Whelan (20'), Gibson (53'), Rossiter (72'), Finley (85'), Coutts (86')
Apr 24, 2021 1pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Curtis (27')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Bristol Rovers
3-1
Portsmouth
Ayunga (34', 44'), Leahy (70' pen.)
McCormick (6'), Williams (28')
Marquis (26')
Johnson (66'), Raggett (69')
Apr 21, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
P-P
Bristol Rovers
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Portsmouth
Rodman (78'), MacGillivray (93' og.)
Upson (29'), Ogogo (83')
Evans (9' pen.), Curtis (70')
Raggett (1'), McCrorie (39'), Curtis (69'), Burgess (80')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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