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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Reading |
49.04% ( 0.02) | 25.96% ( 0) | 25% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.55% ( -0.01) | 54.44% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.19% ( -0.01) | 75.81% ( 0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( 0) | 22.23% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% ( 0.01) | 55.65% ( -0.01) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.98% ( -0.02) | 37.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.19% ( -0.02) | 73.8% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
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