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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Reading logo

Port Vale
1 - 0
Reading

Garrity (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carroll (45+6'), Wing (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Reading
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Reading

Both sides would have taken confidence from their midweek cup victories, and they will now be looking to claim three points for the first time this season. While off-field issues have hampered their recruitment, Reading can still field a strong side, and we think that they will have enough quality to edge out Port Vale on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawReading
49.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.96% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.012 -0.01)75.81% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.23% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)37.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)73.8% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.04%
    Reading 25%
    Draw 25.95%
Port ValeDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 25%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Reading

Port Vale
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Reading
50.0%
6
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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