Carlisle

1 - 3

Port Vale

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.