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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Salford City |
37.1% | 27.28% | 35.62% |
Both teams to score 50.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.51% | 55.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.33% | 76.67% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% | 28.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.32% | 64.68% |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% | 29.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.21% | 65.79% |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.09% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |