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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Sutton United

Carlisle
0 - 2
Sutton


Omotoye (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Olaofe (23'), Ajiboye (31')
Milsom (55'), Olaofe (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Sutton United

Sutton should be able to carry on their forward momentum by collecting another three points on Saturday, taking advantage of any lost confidence for Carlisle due to their heavy defeat last weekend. The hosts have not been very prolific in front of goal this season and that will play into the hands of Sutton, who will be looking to keep a clean sheet for a third straight game in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Sutton United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sutton United.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSutton United
34.27%28.9%36.83%
Both teams to score 45.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.47%61.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.61%81.39%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32%33.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66%70.34%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68%32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54%68.46%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 34.26%
    Sutton United 36.83%
    Draw 28.89%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.72%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 34.26%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 12.28%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 7%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.83%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Sutton

Carlisle United
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sutton United
80.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Sutton
4-0
Carlisle
Whelan (4' og.), Smith (37', 70'), Ajiboye (81')
Goodliffe (57')

Mampala (56'), Dickenson (56')
Mampala (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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20-15
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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