League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton1 - 3Carlisle
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Carlisle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Carlisle United |
52.01% ( -0) | 23.98% | 24.01% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% ( -0) | 47.36% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% ( -0) | 69.58% ( 0) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( -0) | 18.19% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0) | 49.2% ( 0) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( 0) | 34.01% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.31% ( 0) | 70.69% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers 52%
Carlisle United 24.01%
Draw 23.98%
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.43% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.01% |
How you voted: Bolton vs Carlisle
Bolton Wanderers
100%Draw
0.0%Carlisle United
0.0%10
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 20
Carlisle
3-3
Bolton
Form Guide
