League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton3 - 2Stevenage
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-2 Stevenage
Stevenage would have been disappointed to lose 3-1 to Oxford on Saturday, but we think that they will respond by picking up a point in Tuesday's tricky contest against a Bolton side who are unbeaten in four competitive home games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Stevenage |
39.33% ( 0.02) | 25.86% ( -0.27) | 34.81% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.55% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
