Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.