Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.