Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.