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Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Salford City

Bolton
3 - 0
Salford City

Mendes Gomes (1'), Santos (12'), Morley (53')
Matheson (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Berkoe (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Derby
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Salford City

 Salford have certainly proved that there are not to be taken lightly in knockout football this season, but a seven-game run without a clean sheet is an unwelcome statistic before a trip to the holders. International call-ups will force Evatt into a few alterations, and Bolton may have lost their way a tad over the past couple of weeks, but they should still commence the defence of their title with a maximum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawSalford City
47.85% (-0.975 -0.98) 23.69% (0.231 0.23) 28.45% (0.741 0.74)
Both teams to score 59.11% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51% (-0.55 -0.55)42.48% (0.547 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-0.55 -0.55)64.89% (0.548 0.55)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.587 -0.59)17.94% (0.585 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-1.016 -1.02)48.76% (1.013 1.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (0.24199999999999 0.24)27.96% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (0.31 0.31)63.59% (-0.312 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 47.85%
    Salford City 28.45%
    Draw 23.69%
Bolton WanderersDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.07% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.45%

How you voted: Bolton vs Salford City

Bolton Wanderers
84.8%
Draw
9.1%
Salford City
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Bolton
5-1
Salford City
Kachunga (31'), Dadi Bodvarsson (42'), Sadlier (61'), Bradley (77'), Afolayan (86')
Thomason (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (23')
Vassell (70'), Watson (74'), Bolton (82')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Salford City
0-1
Bolton

Clarke (23'), Burgess (80'), Hunter (87')
Isgrove (23')
Lee (29'), Williams (45'), Thomason (76')
Nov 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Bolton
2-0
Salford City
Doyle (23'), Turnbull (67' og.)
rhs 2.0
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