Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 15
Nov 10, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan
Lech Poznan5 - 2Legia
Gholizadeh (4'), Kozubal (38'), Sousa (50', 69'), Ishak (58')
Gurgul (45+3'), Walemark (65'), Murawski (73')
Gurgul (45+3'), Walemark (65'), Murawski (73')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Gual (28'), Augustyniak (45+2' pen.)
Luquinhas (50'), Urbanski (77'), Celhaka (90+1'), Celhaka (90+1')
Luquinhas (50'), Urbanski (77'), Celhaka (90+1'), Celhaka (90+1')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Legia Warsaw.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0 Lech Poznan
Saturday, November 2 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, November 2 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Legia 4-0 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
40.32% ( -0.05) | 25.54% ( 0.02) | 34.13% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% ( -0.06) | 48.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% ( -0.06) | 70.58% ( 0.05) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.05) | 23.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.07% ( -0.07) | 57.93% ( 0.07) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -0.01) | 27.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.35% ( -0.02) | 62.64% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Lech Poznan 40.33%
Legia Warsaw 34.13%
Draw 25.54%
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.13% |
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 32
Lech Poznan
1-2
Legia
Form Guide
