Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Moravski Stadion
Cracovia0 - 2Lech Poznan
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Lech Poznan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-4 Cracovia
Sunday, October 6 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, October 6 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, October 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
Result | ||
KS Cracovia | Draw | Lech Poznan |
32.09% ( 0.02) | 26.05% ( 0.01) | 41.86% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.2% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.89% ( -0.01) | 51.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.04% ( -0.01) | 72.96% ( 0.01) |
KS Cracovia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% ( 0.01) | 29.83% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.08% ( 0.01) | 65.91% ( -0.01) |
Lech Poznan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( -0.02) | 24.18% ( 0.02) |