League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Cambridge

Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Okenabirhie (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wigan
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 0-4 Barnsley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Cambridge United

Burton Albion have looked a much-improved side in recent weeks, but Cambridge United have picked up some decent results this season, drawing at Derby County in their last away match. As such, we expect the spoils to be shared on Monday in what is likely to be a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Cambridge United
42.41% ( 0.7)	26.83% ( 0.25)	30.76% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 50.23% (

-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.32% (

-1.29)

54.68% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.99% (

-1.08)

76.01% (

1.08)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5% (

-0.22)

25.5% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.65% (

-0.31)

60.35% (

0.31)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43% (

-1.34)

32.57% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

-1.52)

69.1% (

1.52)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 42.4%

Cambridge United 30.76%

Draw 26.83%

Burton Albion	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.4%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.76%