We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Cambridge United
Burton Albion have looked a much-improved side in recent weeks, but Cambridge United have picked up some decent results this season, drawing at Derby County in their last away match.
As such, we expect the spoils to be shared on Monday in what is likely to be a closely-contested game.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.