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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Burton Albion

Port Vale
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Garrity (40'), Arblaster (86')
Clark (64'), Ripley (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lubala (11'), Seddon (51'), Baah (61')
Hughes (17'), Helm (75'), Powell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-0 Burton Albion

With Port Vale proving to be an irresistible force in the early stages of the season, we think that they will continue their fine run of form by collecting all three points against a struggling Burton side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
49.6% (5.002 5) 25.51% (-0.858 -0.86) 24.88% (-4.145 -4.15)
Both teams to score 50.18% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (0.767 0.77)52.82% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.652 0.65)74.44% (-0.652 -0.65)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (2.606 2.61)21.31% (-2.606 -2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (3.874 3.87)54.26% (-3.873 -3.87)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-2.954 -2.95)36.22% (2.955 2.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-3.125 -3.13)73.01% (3.126 3.13)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.6%
    Burton Albion 24.89%
    Draw 25.5%
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.406 0.41)
2-0 @ 9.23% (1.083 1.08)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.554 0.55)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.871 0.87)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.338 0.34)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.448 0.45)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.918 -0.92)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.741 -0.74)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.839 -0.84)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.446 -0.45)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.421 -0.42)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.89%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Burton Albion

Port Vale
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Port Vale
2-3
Burton Albion
Harrison (2'), Proctor (80')
Taylor (8', 67'), Smith (48' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
1-2
Port Vale
Leak (23')
Shaughnessy (88')
Politic (79', 82')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
1-2
Burton Albion
Cullen (53')
Gibbons (43'), Bennett (83'), Amoo (92')
Boyce (9'), Fraser (62')
Akins (79'), Daniel (91')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
1-0
Burton Albion
Miller (65')
Clark (63'), Miller (87')

McCrory (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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