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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge United

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cambridge

Helm (28')
Latty-Fairweather (13'), Kirk (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Cambridge United

We expect Cambridge United to rise to the occasion and claim a vital victory over Burton Albion, who can afford to take their foot off the gas having secured their League One status for another season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
51.23% (1.924 1.92) 24% (-0.419 -0.42) 24.77% (-1.507 -1.51)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.553 0.55)46.73% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31% (0.518 0.52)69% (-0.52 -0.52)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.96899999999999 0.97)18.26% (-0.971 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (1.627 1.63)49.3% (-1.63 -1.63)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.93300000000001 -0.93)33.02% (0.93 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-1.047 -1.05)69.6% (1.045 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 51.23%
    Cambridge United 24.77%
    Draw 23.99%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.72% (0.331 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.237 0.24)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.332 0.33)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.168 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.334 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.77%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cambridge

Burton Albion
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Cambridge United
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Cambridge
3-0
Burton Albion
Smith (53'), Hamer (73' og., 79' og.)
Jones (34')

Mancienne (18'), Brayford (71')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Burton Albion
2-4
Cambridge
Akins (3'), Powell (4')
Gallagher (20'), Daniel (45+3')
Knibbs (27'), Hannant (31', 86'), Darling (79')
Digby (73'), Knibbs (90')
May 2, 2015 3pm
Cambridge
2-3
Burton Albion
Elliott (25'), Simpson (69' pen.)
Beavon (11'), Edwards (77'), Stewart (88')
Taft (55'), Mousinho (69'), McCrory (86')
McLaughlan (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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