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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Cambridge
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Lankester (3'), Smith (57' pen.)
Smith (69'), Mitov (90+4'), McGrandles (90+2'), Morrison (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quitirna (82')
Brown (0'), Rooney (68'), Wiredu (69'), Earl (74'), Marriott (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Two of the last three meetings between these two sides have finished in draws, and we are predicting another stalemate on Friday afternoon. Cambridge were excellent against Port Vale last time out and will fancy their chances of avoiding defeat in front of their own supporters here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.32% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 27.28% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)76.76% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)30.56% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)66.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 38.32%
    Fleetwood Town 34.4%
    Draw 27.27%
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.32%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.4%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
1-1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-2
Fleetwood
May (35'), Tracey (51')
Digby (30')
Hill (2'), Lane (76')
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Cambridge
1-0
Fleetwood
Appiah (80')

Hitchcock (68')
Proctor (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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