League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
We said: Cambridge United 0-1 Charlton Athletic
Neither side has been particularly impressive in recent weeks, but we expect Charlton to do just enough to secure the three points, plunging Cambridge into real danger of being relegated.
The Addicks managed to record a narrow 1-0 away victory against struggling Forest Green Rovers last month, and it would not be a surprise to see a similar scoreline on Saturday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.46% . A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.61%) . The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result Cambridge United Draw Charlton Athletic 31.08% ( 0.98) 26.46% ( -0.24) 42.46% ( -0.74)
Both teams to score 51.5% ( 1.17)
46.88% ( 1.3) 53.12% ( -1.3)
25.3% ( 1.09) 74.69% ( -1.09)
68.46% ( 1.37) 31.54% ( -1.37)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.07% ( 1.55) 67.93% ( -1.55)
75.23% ( 0.2) 24.77% ( -0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.66% ( 0.29) 59.34% ( -0.29)
Cambridge United 31.08%
Charlton Athletic 42.46%
Draw 26.46%
Cambridge United Draw Charlton Athletic 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.08% 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46% 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.5) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.46%
rhs 2.0
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