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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cambridge United

Bolton
1 - 1
Cambridge

John (67')
Johnston (56'), Bradley (71'), Mbete (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (90+5')
Smith (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cambridge United

Despite not being free-scoring on home turf, Bolton have the meanest defence in the third tier, and that stinginess should put them in good stead against a side that have netted 13 goals in 19 away League Two fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
65.51% (-0.129 -0.13) 20.45% (-0.124 -0.12) 14.04% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 47.56% (1.034 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.04% (1.037 1.04)46.95% (-1.037 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (0.96 0.96)69.2% (-0.959 -0.96)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.28800000000001 0.29)13.51% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (0.57 0.57)40.56% (-0.569 -0.57)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.99% (1.016 1.02)45% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.06% (0.802 0.8)80.93% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 65.5%
    Cambridge United 14.04%
    Draw 20.45%
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 12.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 8.13% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.107 0.11)
4-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.114 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 65.5%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.45%
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.092 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 14.04%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cambridge

Bolton Wanderers
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Cambridge United
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
1-0
Bolton
Tracey (16')
Iredale (17'), Digby (38'), Hoolahan (54'), O'Neil (73')

Williams (13'), Sarcevic (29'), Santos (88')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Bolton
2-1
Cambridge
Doyle (38'), Sarcevic (43')
Lee (90+4')
Knoyle (80')
Mullin (49'), Ironside (58'), Drysdale (59')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Cambridge
1-1
Bolton
Crellin (73' og.)
Iredale (90+4')
Sarcevic (82')
Delaney (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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