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League One
Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Cambridge United

Accrington
1 - 2
Cambridge

Presley (83' pen.)
Coyle (73'), Whalley (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dunk (42'), Thomas (65')
Lankester (28'), Digby (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Cambridge United

 We anticipate a hotly-contested affair on Saturday, given the magnitude of the fight for survival, and although both will feel a victory is necessary, they will also be desperate to avoid a defeat, and we see them sharing the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawCambridge United
38.03% (0.78 0.78) 25.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 36.1% (-0.704 -0.7)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.23 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (0.309 0.31)49.6% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (0.274 0.27)71.62% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.574 0.57)25.51% (-0.575 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.779 0.78)60.36% (-0.779 -0.78)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)26.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.343 -0.34)61.82% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.03%
    Cambridge United 36.1%
    Draw 25.86%
Accrington StanleyDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.33% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.1%

How you voted: Accrington vs Cambridge

Accrington Stanley
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Cambridge United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Cambridge
0-1
Accrington

Williams (65')
Rodgers (45+2')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 34
Cambridge
2-0
Accrington
Smith (66'), Hoolahan (90+5')

Nottingham (90+3')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 2
Accrington
2-1
Cambridge
Butcher (14'), Pell (30')
Pell (20'), Pritchard (34'), Rodgers (81')
Ironside (79')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Cambridge
Jackson (57')
Hughes (39'), Johnson (90')

Ikpeazu (38'), Deegan (65'), O'Neil (76')
Nov 11, 2017 3pm
Cambridge
0-0
Accrington

Ikpeazu (90'), Halliday (90')

Kee (24'), Johnson (61'), Thorniley (69'), Conneely (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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