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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
33.17% ( -2.01) | 25.73% ( -0.4) | 41.09% ( 2.41) |
Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.52% ( 1.35) | 49.48% ( -1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.48% ( 1.2) | 71.52% ( -1.19) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.68% ( -0.59) | 28.32% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.95% ( -0.76) | 64.05% ( 0.76) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.15% ( 1.88) | 23.85% ( -1.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.97% ( 2.62) | 58.03% ( -2.61) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.17% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |