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Wigan logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
The DW Stadium

Wigan
7 - 1
Leicester U21s

Magennis (34' pen., 46', 60'), Lang (57'), McHugh (72'), Sze (85'), Stones (90+5')
Tickle (12'), McManaman (83'), Stones (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raikhy (30')
Raikhy (20'), Wilson-Brown (38'), Aluko (41')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Wigan Athletic and Leicester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leicester U21s 2-3 Norwich U21s
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawLeicester City Under-21s
62.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 21.19% (0.0010000000000012 0) 16.69% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.41% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)45.05% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.6% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)67.4% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)13.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)41.4% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Leicester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)40.26% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)76.89% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 62.11%
    Leicester City Under-21s 16.69%
    Draw 21.19%
Wigan AthleticDrawLeicester City Under-21s
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 62.11%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.19%
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.69%

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