League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient
3 - 2
Carlisle

Forde (40', 45+4'), Sotiriou (58')
Galbraith (56'), El Mizouni (69'), Hunt (81'), Forde (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Vela (21'), Maguire (90+5' pen.)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 1-4 Bolton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leyton Orient 3-0 Carlisle United

This match looks routine on paper due to the recent form and league positions of both teams, and while anything can happen in football it should be a simple win for Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton Orient	Draw	Carlisle United
47.18% ( 0.43)	26.89% ( -0.16)	25.93% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 47.16% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.78% (

0.43)

57.22% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.93% (

0.34)

78.07% (

-0.34)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73% (

0.4)

24.27% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.37% (

0.56)

58.63% (

-0.56)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.27% (

0.01)

37.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.49% (

0.01)

74.51% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Leyton Orient 47.18%

Carlisle United 25.93%

Draw 26.88%

Leyton Orient	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.18%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.93%