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League One
Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Carlisle United

Leyton Orient
3 - 2
Carlisle

Forde (40', 45+4'), Sotiriou (58')
Galbraith (56'), El Mizouni (69'), Hunt (81'), Forde (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vela (21'), Maguire (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-4 Bolton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 3-0 Carlisle United

 This match looks routine on paper due to the recent form and league positions of both teams, and while anything can happen in football it should be a simple win for Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
47.18% (0.42899999999999 0.43) 26.89% (-0.165 -0.16) 25.93% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.16% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.78% (0.43 0.43)57.22% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.93% (0.343 0.34)78.07% (-0.342 -0.34)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.39700000000001 0.4)24.27% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.557 0.56)58.63% (-0.556 -0.56)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 47.18%
    Carlisle United 25.93%
    Draw 26.88%
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 47.18%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Carlisle

Leyton Orient
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Carlisle United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Leyton Orient
3-1
Carlisle
Pigott (11' pen.), Drinan (65'), Sotiriou (90+1')
Cooper (8'), Forde (14'), El Mizouni (60'), Happe (70'), Sweeney (90+6')
Garner (50')
Robinson (72')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Carlisle
0-1
Leyton Orient
Sotiriou (21')
Brown (38'), Turns (75'), El Mizouni (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leyton Orient
1-0
Carlisle
Mellish (73' og.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carlisle
2-3
Leyton Orient
Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125
> League One Full Table


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