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League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
The DW Stadium
Carlisle United

Wigan
2 - 0
Carlisle

Magennis (16' pen.), Morrison (36')
Clare (45+2'), Morrison (66'), Shaw (72'), Watts (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Edmondson (45+2'), Robinson (47'), Barclay (54'), Mellish (60'), Moxon (82'), Maguire (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Derby
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Carlisle United

Although Wigan have experienced a poor run of recent results, we think that they will make full use of home advantage to beat a Carlisle side that have lost four of their last five league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawCarlisle United
45.61% (0.117 0.12) 25.61% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 28.77% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32% (-0.141 -0.14)50.68% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42% (-0.125 -0.13)72.58% (0.124 0.12)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)22.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)55.6% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (-0.173 -0.17)31.95% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.196 -0.2)68.4% (0.197 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 45.61%
    Carlisle United 28.77%
    Draw 25.6%
Wigan AthleticDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.67% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 45.61%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.77%

How you voted: Wigan vs Carlisle

Wigan Athletic
69.2%
Draw
7.7%
Carlisle United
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Carlisle
1-1
Wigan
Moxon (56')
Mellish (54'), Maguire (67'), Armer (83'), Lavelle (90+9')
Wyke (34')
Clare (19'), Pearce (58')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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