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Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Charlton Athletic

Carlisle
1 - 1
Charlton

Lavelle (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Charlton Athletic

With the Piatak family casting their eyes over the team for the first time as owners, Carlisle will be desperate to earn a victory at Brunton Park this weekend. Charlton have got back on track after back-to-back defeats to Lincoln and Bolton Wanderers in October, and we are expecting the Addicks to win in Cumbria on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
36.05% (0.492 0.49) 24.55% (-0.087 -0.09) 39.41% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 59.33% (0.392 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4% (0.477 0.48)43.6% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01% (0.468 0.47)65.99% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.49299999999999 0.49)23.84% (-0.49 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (0.7 0.7)58.03% (-0.697 -0.7)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.013999999999996 0.01)22.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.018000000000001 0.02)55.46% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.05%
    Charlton Athletic 39.41%
    Draw 24.54%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.05%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 6% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.41%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Oct 22, 2011 3pm
Mar 1, 2011 3pm
Charlton
1-3
Carlisle
Marshall (27'), Loy (80'), Curran (62')
Simek (31'), Livesey (45'), Murphy (82'), Robson (87')
Oct 23, 2010 3pm
Carlisle
3-4
Charlton
Madine (77'), Curran (61'), Grella (58')
Jackson (23'), Anyinsah (38'), Benson (47', 90')
Doherty (54'), Fry (85')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Charlton
1-0
Carlisle
Sodje (44')
Semedo (21')

Thirlwell (38'), Dobie (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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