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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Cambridge
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Bennett (36'), Cousins (88'), Thomas (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (65')
Clarke (37'), Taylor (54'), Pett (70'), Nuttall (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Cheltenham Town

Both teams should be fresh having had their scheduled matches on Tuesday postponed due to waterlogged pitches, and it should be a fierce battle given that both sides are fighting against relegation. However, Cambridge are in better form and arguably have a little more individual quality to call upon, meaning that we expect them to edge a tight victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
49.6% (-4.469 -4.47) 25.88% (1.517 1.52) 24.52% (2.954 2.95)
Both teams to score 48.75% (-1.067 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.48% (-3.114 -3.11)54.52% (3.117 3.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.13% (-2.653 -2.65)75.87% (2.656 2.66)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (-3.077 -3.08)22.01% (3.08 3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-4.884 -4.88)55.33% (4.887 4.89)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (1.059 1.06)37.49% (-1.056 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (1.024 1.02)74.27% (-1.019 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 49.6%
    Cheltenham Town 24.52%
    Draw 25.88%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 9.45% (-0.648 -0.65)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.838 -0.84)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.666 -0.67)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.529 -0.53)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.454 -0.45)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.68 0.68)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.954 0.95)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.1% (1.14 1.14)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.493 0.49)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.656 0.66)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.212 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.245 0.25)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Cheltenham

Cambridge United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cheltenham Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cheltenham
1-0
Cambridge
Sercombe (5')
Goodwin (64'), Bonds (66'), Freestone (85'), Williams (90+2')

Bennett (54')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Cambridge
1-2
Cheltenham
Ironside (61' pen.)
Bonds (57'), Olayinka (79')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Cheltenham
2-1
Cambridge
N'Lundulu (59'), May (83')
May (28')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Cambridge
2-2
Cheltenham
Smith (22', 50')
Simper (40'), O'Neil (45+1')
May (23', 90+1')
Long (45+1'), Boyle (53'), Raglan (64'), May (72')
Boyle (82')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cheltenham
0-5
Cambridge

Freestone (28'), Wright (31')
Smith (37'), Pollock (52' og.), Ironside (63', 73', 88')
Smith (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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