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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Northampton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Bowie (66' pen.)
Willis (53'), Simpson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (26'), Freestone (66'), Long (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Northampton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Reading
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-0 Cheltenham Town

 These are two teams in search of points for very different reasons, and that should lead to an interesting fixture to start the year. However, the quality of Northampton Town is likely going to be too much in this one, and should lead to them taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCheltenham Town
48.02% (-0.291 -0.29) 25.54% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 26.43% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (-0.169 -0.17)51.8% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.15 -0.15)73.56% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)21.58% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-0.304 -0.3)54.67% (0.309 0.31)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (0.084000000000003 0.08)34.36% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (0.09 0.09)71.06% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 48.01%
    Cheltenham Town 26.43%
    Draw 25.53%
Northampton TownDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 48.01%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.072 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Cheltenham
0-1
Northampton

Freestone (82')
Hoskins (88')
Bowie (14'), Guthrie (64')
Jun 22, 2020 8pm
Cheltenham
0-3
Northampton
> Match Report
Jun 18, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
0-2
Cheltenham
> Match Report
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
2-1
Northampton
Broom (19'), Varney (85')
Boyle (30'), Varney (87')
Watson (3')
Harriman (33'), Lines (63'), Wharton (77'), Morton (84')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-1
Cheltenham
Turnbull (38')
Turnbull (2'), Hoskins (14')
Thomas (3' pen.)
Greaves (55'), Sheaf (58'), Addai (95')
Addai (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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