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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Northampton Town

Lincoln
1 - 2
Northampton

Eyoma (61')
Bishop (41')
O'Connor (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guthrie (30'), Bowie (58')
Hondermarck (25'), Brady (26'), Bowie (45+2'), Simpson (90+4'), Hylton (90+9'), Odimayo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Northampton Town

 There is very little to split these two teams in the league table right now, and that should lead to a closely contested game on Friday night. With each team looking to get back to winning ways, it would not be a surprise to see them cancel each other out and play to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawNorthampton Town
40.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.47% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 32.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)56.76% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)77.7% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)27.48% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)62.97% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)32.75% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)69.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.5%
    Northampton Town 32.01%
    Draw 27.47%
Lincoln CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.01%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Northampton

Lincoln City
12.5%
Draw
75.0%
Northampton Town
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Northampton
2-2
Lincoln
Appere (86'), Hoskins (90+8')
Hoskins (80')
Hackett (22'), O'Connor (78')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
McGrandles (75'), Scully (84')
Bridcutt (77')
Rose (90+6')
Jones (36')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
0-4
Lincoln

Bolger (56')
Scully (2'), Hopper (42'), Johnson (83', 90+8')
Montsma (36'), Hopper (73'), Scully (77')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
Lincoln
1-1
Northampton
Andrade (27')
Anderson (42')
Pierre (45')
Buchanan (13'), Goode (39'), Taylor (61'), Elsnik (67')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Lincoln
3-2
Northampton
Anderson (16'), Pett (52'), Andrade (90')
Shackell (45'), Akinde (71'), Green (94'), Pett (99')
Bridge (55'), Van Veen (81')
van Veen (27'), O'Toole (36'), Turnbull (67'), McWilliams (75')
Morias (99')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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