Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
