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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Oxford United

Northampton
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Bowie (50'), Simpson (90+7')
Brough (66'), Simpson (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brannagan (62' pen.)
Brown (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-2 Oxford United

 This could be a Christmas cracker with both teams scoring plenty of goals in recent weeks. Northampton's home form is strong, but Oxford clearly possess greater technical ability. As such, we do not think that either manager would be disappointed with gaining a point. Although this would not be enough to move Oxford into the automatic promotion positions, it would be a decent result to build on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawOxford United
34.55% (-0.061 -0.06) 25.46% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 39.98% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.84% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (0.061 0.06)48.01% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (0.053999999999998 0.05)70.18% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)62.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.063999999999993 0.06)23.76% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.094000000000001 0.09)57.9% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 34.55%
    Oxford United 39.98%
    Draw 25.46%
Northampton TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 34.55%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.57% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.98%

How you voted: Northampton vs Oxford Utd

Northampton Town
41.9%
Draw
9.7%
Oxford United
48.4%
31
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
1-3
Oxford Utd
Simpson (4' pen.)
McWilliams (32'), McGowan (58')
Dyche (76')
Harris (15' pen., 61'), Edwards (48')
Murphy (44')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hoskins (55')
Hoskins (33')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Northampton
Taylor (49', 89'), Shodipo (65'), Agyei (90+3')
Kelly (72'), Taylor (90+6')

Holmes (44')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Northampton
Henry (24')
Henry (26')
Van Veen (55'), Pierre (65')
Bowditch (26'), Pierre (26'), O'Toole (26'), Facey (29'), van Veen (32')
O'Toole (90')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-0
Oxford Utd
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125
> League One Full Table


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