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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Oxford United

Northampton
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Bowie (50'), Simpson (90+7')
Brough (66'), Simpson (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brannagan (62' pen.)
Brown (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-2 Oxford United

 This could be a Christmas cracker with both teams scoring plenty of goals in recent weeks. Northampton's home form is strong, but Oxford clearly possess greater technical ability. As such, we do not think that either manager would be disappointed with gaining a point. Although this would not be enough to move Oxford into the automatic promotion positions, it would be a decent result to build on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawOxford United
34.55% (-0.061 -0.06) 25.46% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 39.98% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.84% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (0.061 0.06)48.01% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (0.053999999999998 0.05)70.18% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)62.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.063999999999993 0.06)23.76% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.094000000000001 0.09)57.9% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 34.55%
    Oxford United 39.98%
    Draw 25.46%
Northampton TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 34.55%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.57% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.98%

How you voted: Northampton vs Oxford Utd

Northampton Town
41.9%
Draw
9.7%
Oxford United
48.4%
31
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
1-3
Oxford Utd
Simpson (4' pen.)
McWilliams (32'), McGowan (58')
Dyche (76')
Harris (15' pen., 61'), Edwards (48')
Murphy (44')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hoskins (55')
Hoskins (33')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Northampton
Taylor (49', 89'), Shodipo (65'), Agyei (90+3')
Kelly (72'), Taylor (90+6')

Holmes (44')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Northampton
Henry (24')
Henry (26')
Van Veen (55'), Pierre (65')
Bowditch (26'), Pierre (26'), O'Toole (26'), Facey (29'), van Veen (32')
O'Toole (90')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-0
Oxford Utd
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623
> League One Full Table


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