League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Northampton2 - 0Burton Albion
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Barrow
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Burton Albion
This looks like a very even contest that both sides will feel they can win but would rather not lose. We are expecting a tight match here and feel that these sides will not be separated after 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
42.1% ( 0) | 27.46% ( 0) | 30.43% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.82% ( -0.02) | 57.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.96% ( -0.02) | 78.04% ( 0.01) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.01) | 26.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.9% ( -0.01) | 62.1% ( 0.01) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( -0.02) | 34.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.02) | 70.8% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Northampton Town 42.09%
Burton Albion 30.43%
Draw 27.46%
| Northampton Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.43% |
Form Guide
