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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Northampton Town

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Northampton

Martin (10'), Evans (30' pen.)
Grant (12'), Evans (18'), Martin (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Monthe (57')
Pinnock (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton Town

 Bristol Rovers have fallen below their owners' expectations so far this term, but with interim boss Mangan at the helm, the Gas have a good chance of returning to winning ways this weekend. Northampton are continuing to rely on Hoskins to get them out of jail, and we believe that the Cobblers will suffer their third defeat in four games on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawNorthampton Town
45.73% (-0.417 -0.42) 24.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 29.53% (0.425 0.43)
Both teams to score 56.29% (0.296 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (0.267 0.27)46.53% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.251 0.25)68.8% (-0.25 -0.25)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)20.42% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (-0.113 -0.11)52.86% (0.114 0.11)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.434 0.43)29.27% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.533 0.53)65.22% (-0.532 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 45.73%
    Northampton Town 29.53%
    Draw 24.73%
Bristol RoversDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.73%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.53%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Northampton

Bristol Rovers
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Northampton Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Northampton
0-1
Bristol Rovers

McGowan (61'), Lewis (71'), Pinnock (90+2')
Anderson (1')
Finley (68'), Coutts (75'), Connolly (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Grant (54'), Evans (59')
Whelan (12'), Harries (49'), Anderson (74')
Whelan (67')
Hoskins (39' pen.)
Hoskins (74'), Roberts (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Northampton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Hoskins (78' pen.)
Morris (44'), Hoskins (83')
Leahy (19')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Northampton
Hanlan (56' pen.), Baldwin (79')
Grant (23')

Racic (11'), Martin (35'), Watson (82'), Bolger (90+4')
Martin (60')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Northampton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Crooks (76')
Crooks (45'), Foley (93')
Broadbent (45'), Payne (59')
Nichols (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71
> League One Full Table


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