Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.