Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.