Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.