Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Northampton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Northampton Town |
49.27% ( -0.06) | 23.99% ( -0.03) | 26.74% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( 0.21) | 45.07% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( 0.2) | 67.42% ( -0.2) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( 0.06) | 18.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.48% ( 0.1) | 49.52% ( -0.1) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( 0.18) | 30.55% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.22% ( 0.21) | 66.78% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers 49.27%
Northampton Town 26.74%
Draw 23.99%
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 26.74% |
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Form Guide
