FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Northampton1 - 3Barrow
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Northampton Town and Barrow.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 4-0 Northampton
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Barrow |
36.9% ( -0) | 26.54% | 36.55% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.53% ( 0) | 52.47% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.85% ( 0) | 74.14% ( -0) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% | 27.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37% | 62.99% ( 0) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% ( 0) | 27.7% ( -0) |