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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Salford City |
38.16% ( 0.01) | 26.08% ( 0.01) | 35.76% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.9% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.43% ( -0.04) | 50.57% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( -0.03) | 72.49% ( 0.03) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% ( -0.01) | 25.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.12% ( -0.01) | 60.88% ( 0.01) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% ( -0.03) | 27.26% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.3% ( -0.04) | 62.7% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 35.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |