EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City
1 - 3
Stockport

Dackers (3')
Mallan (16'), Pedro (29')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Madden (20' pen., 52', 67')
Pond (72')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Salford City and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Salford City 4-2 Crewe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Stockport County

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Doncaster
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Salford City	Draw	Stockport County
34.27% ( 4.45)	24.21% ( 0.13)	41.52% ( -4.57)

Both teams to score 60.21% (

1.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.7% (

1.16)

42.3% (

-1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.3% (

1.15)

64.7% (

-1.15)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

3.3)

24.22% (

-3.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43% (

4.46)

58.57% (

-4.46)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

-1.51)

20.53% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96% (

-2.45)

53.04% (

2.45)

Score Analysis

Salford City 34.27%

Stockport County 41.52%

Draw 24.2%

Salford City	Draw	Stockport County
2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5% ( 0.64) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.63) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.38) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.49) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.32) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.27%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.81) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.98) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.48) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.7) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.29) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.35) Other @ 2.87% Total : 41.52%