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Championship header 2

League Two
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Notts County

Salford City
0 - 2
Notts County


Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Salford City and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Walsall
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Salford City 0-1 Notts County

 Notts County have started the season very well, while Salford City have struggled in their recent matches, losing their last three games on the spin. As such, we expect a narrow victory for the visitors, who will go top of the table providing they do not lose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawNotts County
26.57% (-0.206 -0.21) 23.5% (-0.093 -0.09) 49.93% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99% (0.25 0.25)43% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59% (0.249 0.25)65.4% (-0.253 -0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)29.6% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (0.205 0.2)17.34% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (0.36 0.36)47.72% (-0.365 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 26.57%
    Notts County 49.93%
    Draw 23.5%
Salford CityDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 26.57%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.6% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.93%

How you voted: Salford City vs Notts County

Salford City
5.0%
Draw
15.0%
Notts County
80.0%
20
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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