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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town

Notts County
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

We said: Notts County 1-0 Grimsby Town

 Notts County should be eager to kickstart their campaign with a victory in front of their own fans this weekend, in what is the first EFL match at Meadow Lane since 2019, and we think they will be able to get the job done. Although it is still very early days, Grimsby Town have failed to score so far this season, putting in two sub-par performances, which they cannot afford to do against a side of the Magpies' quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
52.53% (1.82 1.82) 22.83% (-0.414 -0.41) 24.64% (-1.405 -1.41)
Both teams to score 58.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (0.61 0.61)41.64% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (0.613 0.61)64.04% (-0.611 -0.61)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1% (0.871 0.87)15.9% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.86% (1.577 1.58)45.14% (-1.576 -1.58)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.777 -0.78)30.38% (0.777 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.937 -0.94)66.57% (0.937 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 52.53%
    Grimsby Town 24.64%
    Draw 22.83%
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.096 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.296 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.182 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.199 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 52.53%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 24.64%

Head to Head
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rodrigues (73')
O'Brien (38'), Brunt (100')
Holohan (90+6'), Dieseruvwe (119')
Clifton (43'), Taylor (70'), Waterfall (85')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Roberts (15')
Rodrigues (30'), Brunt (32'), Taylor (79'), Cameron (84'), Lacey (90')
Taylor (76'), Waterfall (90')
Clifton (52')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
0-1
Notts County

Hunt (86')
Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (45'), Roberts (54'), Nemane (90+1')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Notts County
2-1
Grimsby Town
Mackail-Smith (48'), Clifton (67' og.)
Stubbs (48'), Rose (55')
Whitmore (93')
Hall-Johnson (50')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Grimsby Town
4-0
Notts County
Clifton (4'), Davis (37', 66'), Thomas (88')
Rose (69'), Thomas (75')

Hewitt (75')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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