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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town

Notts County
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

We said: Notts County 1-0 Grimsby Town

 Notts County should be eager to kickstart their campaign with a victory in front of their own fans this weekend, in what is the first EFL match at Meadow Lane since 2019, and we think they will be able to get the job done. Although it is still very early days, Grimsby Town have failed to score so far this season, putting in two sub-par performances, which they cannot afford to do against a side of the Magpies' quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
52.53% (1.82 1.82) 22.83% (-0.414 -0.41) 24.64% (-1.405 -1.41)
Both teams to score 58.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (0.61 0.61)41.64% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (0.613 0.61)64.04% (-0.611 -0.61)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1% (0.871 0.87)15.9% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.86% (1.577 1.58)45.14% (-1.576 -1.58)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.777 -0.78)30.38% (0.777 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.937 -0.94)66.57% (0.937 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 52.53%
    Grimsby Town 24.64%
    Draw 22.83%
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.096 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.296 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.182 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.199 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 52.53%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 24.64%

Head to Head
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rodrigues (73')
O'Brien (38'), Brunt (100')
Holohan (90+6'), Dieseruvwe (119')
Clifton (43'), Taylor (70'), Waterfall (85')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Roberts (15')
Rodrigues (30'), Brunt (32'), Taylor (79'), Cameron (84'), Lacey (90')
Taylor (76'), Waterfall (90')
Clifton (52')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
0-1
Notts County

Hunt (86')
Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (45'), Roberts (54'), Nemane (90+1')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Notts County
2-1
Grimsby Town
Mackail-Smith (48'), Clifton (67' og.)
Stubbs (48'), Rose (55')
Whitmore (93')
Hall-Johnson (50')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Grimsby Town
4-0
Notts County
Clifton (4'), Davis (37', 66'), Thomas (88')
Rose (69'), Thomas (75')

Hewitt (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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