EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
0 - 2
Lincoln

Baldwin (29'), O'Brien (44')
Baldwin (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Roughan (23'), Sorensen (48')
Smith (15'), O'Connor (41')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Notts County and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 5-1 Notts County
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Lincoln City
40.72% ( -0.18)	24.15% ( -0.03)	35.13% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 60.62% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.15% (

0.2)

41.85% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.75% (

0.2)

64.25% (

-0.2)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28%

20.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.67% (

53.33%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

0.21)

23.53% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.42% (

0.3)

57.58% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Notts County 40.72%

Lincoln City 35.13%

Draw 24.15%

Notts County	Draw	Lincoln City
2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.15%	1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.13%