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EFL Cup
Notts County
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Lincoln City

Notts County
0 - 2
Lincoln


Baldwin (29'), O'Brien (44')
Baldwin (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roughan (23'), Sorensen (48')
Smith (15'), O'Connor (41')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Notts County and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 5-1 Notts County
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawLincoln City
40.72% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18) 24.15% (-0.032 -0.03) 35.13% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.62% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (0.19600000000001 0.2)41.85% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (0.197 0.2)64.25% (-0.196 -0.2)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28%20.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.33%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.20699999999999 0.21)23.53% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42% (0.299 0.3)57.58% (-0.297 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 40.72%
    Lincoln City 35.13%
    Draw 24.15%
Notts CountyDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.13%

How you voted: Notts County vs Lincoln

Notts County
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Lincoln City
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Notts County
1-1
Lincoln
Stead (2' pen.)
Boldewijn (20'), Stubbs (71'), Doyle (85'), Milsom (95')
Andrade (45')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 5
Lincoln
3-1
Notts County
Frecklington (7'), Andrade (33'), Anderson (55')
Kellett (19')
Tootle (38')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Lincoln
2-2
Notts County
Frecklington (37'), Green (67')
Rhead (30'), Williams (49'), Waterfall (82')
Stead (35'), Grant (77')
Hawkridge (59'), Alessandra (70'), Grant (81'), Fitzsimons (90')
Nov 7, 2017 7.45pm
-
Lincoln
2-1
Notts County
Bird (37' og.), Ginnelly (86')
Forte (27')
Hollis (52'), Smith (87')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Notts County
4-1
Lincoln
Stead (39'), Tootle (55'), Grant (71'), Hawkridge (88')
Milsom (41')
Anderson (47')
Bostwick (52'), Raggett (79'), Habergham (87')
Knott (28')
rhs 2.0
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