Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 84.76%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 4.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 4-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | York City |
84.76% ( -0.13) | 10.24% ( 0.06) | 4.99% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.37% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.42% ( 0.01) | 27.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.78% ( 0.02) | 48.21% ( -0.02) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.45% ( -0.03) | 4.54% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.42% ( -0.06) | 18.57% ( 0.05) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.57% ( 0.23) | 51.42% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.37% ( 0.15) | 85.62% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | York City |
3-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.66% 6-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 84.74% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.24% | 1-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 4.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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